The meeting focused on a financial outlook presentation, an update on capital bond project implementation, potential policy updates to the investment policy and purchasing procedures, and a discussion on council meeting norms to improve efficiency. No formal votes were taken; decisions were reached by consensus.
So you go to CMO. National Down. And then we have some um Colorado and U.S. labor market indicators, so unemployment rates. Um US is um slightly higher than Colorado, and then same as well in terms of the employment growth, which is um slow moving forward. Real how US household savings are declining. You can see this into 2026 um averages and then where we are right now, looking at about 3.6%. And then credit card delinquencies are rising nationwide. So you can see credit card student loan auto. Um over time, those have been um increasing into 2026. And then additionally, real US household savings are declining. Oops, did I go back? Sorry about that. Um and then inflation. Uh so the two percent Fed target were significantly higher than that. Um and this was in January and February data, so um even now in um June, um, that's closer to between four and five percent in terms of inflation um for the the Denver area. And then nominal sales in the retail trade sector. So you can see here the US is um doing much better in terms of um their retail tax um as what and sales um as compared to Colorado, um, and that's largely due to um the state's employment contraction, again, slow growth and suppressed tourist activity, which I assume is due to drought and some other things. Um so a summary here um in terms of Colorado economic growth, strong growth compared to the rest of the US over the last 15 years. However, in the last few years, this gross growth has been slowing. Personal income is projected to increase in Colorado, and we continue to see consumption. Um however, confidence is down, debt and delinquencies are rising along with inflation. Um property taxes after years of continued growth, home prices are showing signs of stabilizing with much slower growth. And then in terms of retail sales, which is um the largest percentage of our revenue, significant increase post-COVID has gone flat or slightly negative in the last few years, and even optimistic forecasts only show slow growth, um two to three percent over the next few years. So in terms of economic uncertainty, um our revenue projections for 2026 are conservative. There's still a lot of uncertainty again regarding prices, wages, and future consumption patterns. Um recession risk is moderate, but again, that slow employment growth, high inflation, and rising household debt signal the economies in a precarious position. And no one including the city can be certain of what will happen, and therefore we're we're being very cautious as we move forward um in terms of our finances. So any questions on that kind of national Colorado piece. And we have Maddie and we have um Mary Jonovan with Insight, who's our investment advisor here, so they could jump in as well if they have any uh they want to add anything to any of your questions. Thank you, Mayor. Uh if I understand correctly, savings are dropping, but uh and debts going up. Um in Colorado in particular, is that why we're a little nervous? Uh one of the big indicators. Yeah, I mean, I think inf inflation's rising, employment growth has slowed. So I think there's just a concern, and then ultimately that affects consumption patterns, and that's you know, our revenue sources sales tax. So I that's just it's a it's a big concern. And I have to say I've been continually surprised that we continue to consume the way we do in between inflation and delinquencies and things like that. So I it's you know, is is the reckoning coming? I don't know, but um I don't know if you guys want to add anything. No, I th I think spending patterns in general are not matching the uh on a US basis or for the most part spending patterns are not matching what we're really what the expectations would be and not matching what we would see given the economic climate. So to Heather's point, I think we anticipate at some point that has to come to a head. We just don't know when. I mean, I think folks have been saying there's gonna be a recession you know, pending for the last two years, and it just hasn't hit yet. So we just don't really know. I was just making sure because I believe the last time we spoke, this was what was happening. Yep, yeah. And again, I I'm continually shocked that people are continuing to consume the way they do. I that's why I I continue to think there's uh so we'll see. And and the best way to brace for this is you'll you'll get to that.