OPENPUBLICA · PUBLIC MEETING RECORD
Record of Proceedings

El Paso City Council Work Session - August 31, 2026: Housing Market Analysis and Legislative Agenda Amendments

City CouncilMonday, August 31, 2026
BodyEl Paso, Texas
SessionCity Council
DateMonday, August 31, 2026
StatusFILED
Video Record
0:00 / 1:26:31

Transcript — Verbatim
0:53

Good morning, Miss Prime.

0:54

I believe we're ready to go.

0:55

Good morning, Mayor, and good morning, everyone.

0:57

This is a work session of the El Paso City Council for Monday, August 31st, 2026.

1:02

It is 9 02 a.m.

1:04

Mayor Johnson is present and presiding in Council Chambers along with Mayor Pro Tem Chavez, Representative Maldonado Rocha, Representative Nino, Alternate Mayor Pro Tempiero, and Representative Limon.

1:15

Representative has requested to be excused from today's meeting.

1:19

Mayor, we have a quorum.

1:20

Okay.

1:29

To the flag of the United States of America.

1:32

And to the Republic for what it stands under God.

1:36

Individual liberty.

1:43

Okay, Ms.

1:43

Brian Bully, that takes us to item number one.

1:47

Item one is presentation and discussion by the Concord Group on a 2026 report on market rate rental, affordable rental, and for sale market analysis for the El Paso, Texas Metropolitan Statistical Area as prepared for housing opportunity management enterprises home.

2:05

Good morning.

2:10

Thank you very much for allowing me to be here.

2:12

As you know, I work for the housing authority CEO, I'm Jerry Sishon, our representing uh home, and uh wanted to have a chance to to bring to you some information.

2:22

Uh we have recently um partnered with the Concord Group.

2:26

They are the one of the national leaders in market analysis.

2:29

Uh so as we move forward, we use them a lot for our analysis of to help us determine where we're gonna build, what we're gonna build, the type of housing we're gonna build, trends within El Paso.

2:39

Uh I know that uh you all have had a recent housing study.

2:42

A lot of that was focusing on single family homes.

2:44

Uh a lot of this is focusing on multifamily.

2:47

Uh I really want to show you the number of units, what's happening, and why with the demographics.

2:51

Uh, Tim uh Cornwall is the principal on this.

2:54

He's gonna be actually providing the presentation.

2:57

Uh I know you probably have this presentation in your book.

3:00

It's like 90 pages.

3:01

He's gonna manipulate it and bring it back and forth so you can see exactly what he's saying and why.

3:06

Um there's uh there's a lot of information in here, as you know, the rents in Al Paso have gone up almost seven percent in the last 12 months.

3:13

Uh it's hitting our people really, really hard.

3:16

Um and we really want to explain to you exactly what's happening and why and what you can expect to have happen in a multifamily market over the next uh five and ten years.

3:24

So with that, I'd like to turn it over to Tim uh Cornwall from the Concord group.

3:28

Thank you.

3:29

Thank you, Chair.

3:32

Great.

3:33

Uh good to see everyone, and thanks for the time uh this morning allowing us to talk to you.

3:39

So hopefully you all can see my screen.

3:41

I'm going to go through sort of our you know conclusions and findings as it relates to where this market is and where it's ultimately going to.

3:50

I I really believe that death by PowerPoint is not the best way forward, so I invite anyone to interrupt and ask questions and you know, challenge us as we go through these data.

4:00

I think it is a extremely striking time as it relates to some of the demographic substitution effects that we're seeing and what it means for our housing markets, right?

4:10

So as we think about you know what this presentation does, it's really all about where we have been for sure, but more importantly, what's coming next.

4:20

So let me make sure that everything's working.

4:23

Um I think you can see, yep, you can see my screen changing.

4:28

So where we have to start as we think about the executive summary of some of our major findings is these, you know, demographic realities, right?

4:37

So when we look at the city of El Paso as we as we go through kind of the existing demographics, it's about 670,000 people living in 257,000 households.

4:48

What we find extremely interesting is if you look at the growth that's projected by a variety of third-party syndicated demographers, the the source that we buy and pay for as we look at sort of where this market ultimately is moving.

5:00

What we find extremely interesting is if you look at the growth that's projected by a variety of third-party syndicated demographers, the source that we buy and pay for as we look at sort of where this market ultimately is moving, we're seeing a net growth from a population perspective for the next five years of only one tenth of one percent, right?

5:11

Extremely flat growth.

5:14

But when we start to look at the distribution of households, when we look at how that population is organizing themselves into households, right, the 257,000 households that exist now are gonna be something like 265 by the time we get to 2031, which is a growth rate of seven tenths of one percent, right?

5:38

So what that means is although the population growth isn't huge, we actually have people that are organizing themselves into smaller households, fewer children, right?

5:50

More single person households having a lot to do with the income distribution that we're gonna spend a lot of time in the next number of pages talking about.

5:57

But what happens is, by the way, when you look at that income distribution, the net new growth every calendar year in overall households is about 1,700 net new, but that's made up of 2900, almost 3,000 every year that are up over $100,000 of household income balanced against a loss displacement or combination of households of some $1,300 every year under $100,000, right?

6:28

So this is a place where we have a $63,000 median income and an $86,000 average household income.

6:37

Okay, but what's happening is we're seeing significantly different outcomes at the top end of the income scale and at the bottom end of the income scale.

6:46

Now, this is not all good news, people making more money, right?

6:51

There are three different contributing factors at least, right?

6:54

So I mentioned them.

6:56

The first is you absolutely do see some wage pressure, right?

Discussion Breakdown — Share of Meeting
Affordable Housing█████████████████████████████████████████████47%
Procedural█████████████14%
Economic Development█████████9%
Disability Rights████4%
Federal Government Relations████4%
Technology and Innovation████4%
Transportation Safety████4%
Public Engagement████4%
Public Comment███3%
Summary of Proceedings

El Paso City Council Work Session – August 31, 2026

The El Paso City Council convened a work session on Monday, August 31, 2026, at 9:02 a.m. in Council Chambers, with Mayor Renard U. Johnson presiding. The meeting included a detailed housing market analysis presentation by the Concord Group (prepared for Housing Opportunity Management Enterprises – HOME) and discussion and approval of amendments to the city’s State Legislative Agenda for the 90th Texas Legislative Session. The council also recessed into executive session to discuss six items, returning at 4:45 p.m. to take action on several. The work session adjourned at 4:49 p.m.

Public Comments & Testimony

  • Ms. Osman criticized the housing analysis as skewed, arguing it ignores the need for higher-wage permanent jobs and the impact of a $7.25 minimum wage. She stated that multi-generational households skew income data and that the focus on building does not address the root cause of poverty.
  • Ms. Turner, a resident with a disability, testified that her rent increased 10% this year (not the 7% cited in the report) and that she faces additional fees for amenities she cannot use. She expressed frustration with inaccessible apartment design, rising utility costs, and the requirement to use third-party payment services, stating, “I can’t afford to live here anymore.”

Discussion Items

Item 1: Housing Market Analysis by the Concord Group (26-0986)

  • Tim Cornwall (Concord Group) and Jerry Sishon (HOME CEO) presented a 2026 report on market-rate rental, affordable rental, and for-sale housing in the El Paso MSA.
  • Key findings:
    • El Paso’s population is nearly flat (0.1% growth over five years), but household formation is increasing (0.7% growth) as households shrink (fewer children, more singles).
    • Net new households per year (≈1,700) are predominantly high-income (almost 3,000 households earning >$100k) while low-income households are displaced (≈1,300 lost annually).
    • Rents have risen 32% since 2019, with a 7% increase in the last 12 months; stabilized occupancy is 96%.
    • The number of renter households earning over $150,000 has doubled in five years; those earning $75,000–$100,000 increased 75%.
    • Supply is critically constrained: only 540 market-rate units are in the pipeline through 2030, while annual need is ~1,300 (a shortfall of 5,600 units). Affordable rental is 2,100 units short.
    • Entry-level homes (under $200,000) have nearly disappeared—now just 17% of sales vs. the pre-COVID majority.
    • Jerry Sishon noted that rising construction costs and interest rates (up 80 basis points in six months) are limiting new development, and families are being pushed to outskirts (Anthony, Las Cruces, Socorro) or into severe cost burden (>50% of income on rent).
  • Council questions: Councilmember Canales linked the findings to failed zoning reforms from a year ago and stressed the need for production-enhancing policies. Councilmember Maldonado-Rocha asked about stalled projects in Central and Northeast El Paso; Cornwall cited financing and cost challenges. Councilmember Boyar Trejo noted the omission of Ysleta ISD from the major employers list.
  • City Manager’s Office update: A comprehensive housing strategy, including policy implications, will be brought back in late October/November. The Housing Finance Corporation has secured ~$25 million for first-time homebuyer assistance.

Item 2: Amendments to the State Legislative Agenda (26-0982)

  • Alejandra Gorski (Strategic and Legislative Affairs) presented four amendments to the agenda adopted in February 2026, reflecting council directives and emerging issues:
    1. Data center policy framework – Supports legislation that requires clear public benefits, environmental considerations, transparency, and prevents preemption of local incentive regulation. Includes ratepayer protections for utility cost impacts, and coordination with the Texas Municipal League (TML).
    2. Impaired driving prevention – Seeks funding and partnerships for education, roadway safety improvements, and alternative transportation to reduce DWI-related crashes.
    3. Ratepayer protections from data center utility costs – Ensures protections extend to El Paso Electric (non-ERCOT region) and safeguard small businesses and residents.
    4. Behavioral health facility support – Broadens advocacy for state funding for community-based behavioral health services and crisis care.
  • Councilmember Canales moved an additional amendment: “Support statewide policies and legislation that enhance support for people with disabilities, bolster long-term services and supports (LTSS), improve employment and economic opportunities, and strengthen physical accessibility infrastructure.” The amendment was seconded and passed unanimously.
  • Council discussed ongoing coordination with TML, deadlines for further amendments (staff recommended providing at least a week’s notice for any future additions), and the process for letters of support/opposition. Councilmember Limón requested future collaboration on homelessness and affordable housing.
  • Public comment: Ms. Osman questioned the need for contracted lobbyists given the city’s existing legislative team and local delegation, and criticized the cost.
  • The amended legislative agenda was approved unanimously.

Key Outcomes

  • Item 1 (Housing Analysis): Received as information. Staff will bring a comprehensive housing strategy in late October/November.
  • Item 2 (Legislative Agenda): Resolution to adopt amended State Legislative Agenda passed unanimously (including the disability-support amendment).
  • Executive Session Actions:
    • EX1 (Joseph Pickett v. City of El Paso): No action.
    • EX2 (State of Texas v. City of McAllen et al.): No action.
    • EX3 (El Paso Electric Company natural gas facility – PUC docket): A motion to authorize the city attorney to send a counter offer was made but lacked a second, so no action taken.
    • EX4 (Economic development opportunity HQ#25-5205): Motion to continue negotiations passed 5-2 (Acevedo and Limon voting nay; Councilmember Acevedo expressed concern over project credibility after years of back-and-forth).
    • EX5 (Economic development opportunity HQ#26-ECON-1245): Motion to continue negotiations passed 6-1 (Limon voting nay).
    • EX6 (Legal consultation on appointed employees): No action.

Meeting Transcript

Good morning, Miss Prime. I believe we're ready to go. Good morning, Mayor, and good morning, everyone. This is a work session of the El Paso City Council for Monday, August 31st, 2026. It is 9 02 a.m. Mayor Johnson is present and presiding in Council Chambers along with Mayor Pro Tem Chavez, Representative Maldonado Rocha, Representative Nino, Alternate Mayor Pro Tempiero, and Representative Limon. Representative has requested to be excused from today's meeting. Mayor, we have a quorum. Okay. To the flag of the United States of America. And to the Republic for what it stands under God. Individual liberty. Okay, Ms. Brian Bully, that takes us to item number one. Item one is presentation and discussion by the Concord Group on a 2026 report on market rate rental, affordable rental, and for sale market analysis for the El Paso, Texas Metropolitan Statistical Area as prepared for housing opportunity management enterprises home. Good morning. Thank you very much for allowing me to be here. As you know, I work for the housing authority CEO, I'm Jerry Sishon, our representing uh home, and uh wanted to have a chance to to bring to you some information. Uh we have recently um partnered with the Concord Group. They are the one of the national leaders in market analysis. Uh so as we move forward, we use them a lot for our analysis of to help us determine where we're gonna build, what we're gonna build, the type of housing we're gonna build, trends within El Paso. Uh I know that uh you all have had a recent housing study. A lot of that was focusing on single family homes. Uh a lot of this is focusing on multifamily. Uh I really want to show you the number of units, what's happening, and why with the demographics. Uh, Tim uh Cornwall is the principal on this. He's gonna be actually providing the presentation. Uh I know you probably have this presentation in your book. It's like 90 pages. He's gonna manipulate it and bring it back and forth so you can see exactly what he's saying and why. Um there's uh there's a lot of information in here, as you know, the rents in Al Paso have gone up almost seven percent in the last 12 months. Uh it's hitting our people really, really hard. Um and we really want to explain to you exactly what's happening and why and what you can expect to have happen in a multifamily market over the next uh five and ten years. So with that, I'd like to turn it over to Tim uh Cornwall from the Concord group. Thank you. Thank you, Chair. Great. Uh good to see everyone, and thanks for the time uh this morning allowing us to talk to you. So hopefully you all can see my screen. I'm going to go through sort of our you know conclusions and findings as it relates to where this market is and where it's ultimately going to. I I really believe that death by PowerPoint is not the best way forward, so I invite anyone to interrupt and ask questions and you know, challenge us as we go through these data. I think it is a extremely striking time as it relates to some of the demographic substitution effects that we're seeing and what it means for our housing markets, right? So as we think about you know what this presentation does, it's really all about where we have been for sure, but more importantly, what's coming next. So let me make sure that everything's working. Um I think you can see, yep, you can see my screen changing. So where we have to start as we think about the executive summary of some of our major findings is these, you know, demographic realities, right? So when we look at the city of El Paso as we as we go through kind of the existing demographics, it's about 670,000 people living in 257,000 households. What we find extremely interesting is if you look at the growth that's projected by a variety of third-party syndicated demographers, the the source that we buy and pay for as we look at sort of where this market ultimately is moving. What we find extremely interesting is if you look at the growth that's projected by a variety of third-party syndicated demographers, the source that we buy and pay for as we look at sort of where this market ultimately is moving, we're seeing a net growth from a population perspective for the next five years of only one tenth of one percent, right? Extremely flat growth.

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