0:04Sam, we can go ahead and get us all started here.
0:08And will Mike pass immediately over to you.
0:13So thank you all for having me again, Bill Wazileski with Mullin and Lonegan Associates.
0:17And here just to kind of share our overview.
0:21You all hired us to do a comprehensive housing plan.
0:25And so we just wanted to kind of update you on that, just give you a little bit of sense of what it's going to be, why we do it, how we're doing it, and then just to have an opportunity for you all to answer questions.
0:36And so I can just let you know that we're here doing in-person stakeholder sessions this week.
0:42And so we have meetings this morning and this afternoon, all the way through Thursday in person.
0:48So we're meeting with all the key agencies.
0:50We're gonna have more outreach after the first of the year.
0:53We're gonna do some virtual stuff, but we really want to do some neighborhood meetings coming up to get citizen participation at various locations within the city.
1:02We haven't really thought through how that and when that's gonna happen.
1:04Um January, they said is really not obviously a good time to do it.
1:07So it'll probably be most likely end of February to be able to do that.
1:11And so we're we're thinking through how we're gonna do that and get the word out to get again citizen participation uh related to this plan and get input on this plan.
1:19But I just wanted to kind of go through what we're doing, how we do it, why we do it, and just give you all opportunity to ask questions as you see fit.
1:27So I just have a brief PowerPoint here.
1:29These are what we've been using during our stakeholder sessions uh for our trip here.
1:32So again, what is a comprehensive housing plan?
1:38It's uh it's a plan that does really two things, right?
1:40It analyzes your current housing.
1:42Um it talks about uh thing and these bullet points that you see there, that was what the city really put in their RFP.
1:49These are real questions that they wanted answered uh as it relates to housing in the city of Erie.
1:54So they really we you all really want to know who needs housing, uh, what are the factors uh impacting housing affordability?
2:02Uh how is blight impacting your city city's housing stock, uh, who is paying more for housing than they can afford, what are the substandard housing found in clusters and high clusters within the city, um, what are housing gaps in needs by income level?
2:16And I'll talk a little bit about that a little bit more detail and why we do that and why it's so important.
2:21Uh and then finally, uh, what is the projected housing need by type and income over the next five years?
2:26And we use projection data for that.
2:28These are all data-driven kind of things.
2:30We're looking at uh ACS data, demographic data.
2:34We got data from the Board of Realtors, uh, and so and we're gonna buy projection data.
2:39So um it's really to look objectively at what the data and the numbers are saying.
2:44We've gotten a lot of data from your city departments in terms of housing, uh, in terms of things such as blight, such as housing um availability, that sort of thing, zoning issues.
2:54Um so the idea is to really get at that objective view of what the data is saying.
2:58Uh, we're also again using stakeholders as a secondary source to kind of not vet it, but really get input from citizens and stakeholders to see really if that makes sense, if the data is matching up with what people are seeing in the field.
3:10And so we're doing that currently.
3:12And then more importantly, the second part of it is really to create and develop a strategic solutions-based recommendation that could be implemented to enhance housing opportunities across the city of Erie uh over the next five years.
3:23And I'll talk a little bit about that as we go on.
3:27Why is this study needed?
3:28And this is a again a big question that uh we always uh ask uh before we enter into these engagements.
3:34And I think the first one is the most important.
3:36Uh the city has never had a comprehensive housing plan, if you can believe that.
3:40You've had comprehensive plans, you've had how um you know economic development studies, you had how your studies for your federal resources, but you didn't have a real comprehensive housing plan.
3:49Uh and it is important given the affordability crisis we're in in this country to have that.
3:54So I think should get be given credit for choosing to do that.
3:57I think it's really important to do that.
3:58It could all we talked uh also today, it could be part of if you choose to do a comprehensive plan moving forward, it could be the housing piece of your comprehensive plan moving forward, so it's really important.
4:07The city is also experiencing various housing challenges, including an aging housing stock and lack of available housing units at various income ranges.
4:15Um the cost of housing is increasing while incomes are decreasing or falling or remaining the same.
4:21That's a huge issue that we have to think about and see how it impacts the city.
4:25The amount of housing income spent on a monthly housing cost base uh base is rising, so how much people are paying for housing, generally the standard is no more than 30% of your income.
4:35And we look at that to see how how affordable the housing stock is, and I'll talk a little bit about that later.
4:41Um rents and housing prices have significantly increased over the last five years.
4:45And again, I'm preaching to the choir, you all know this, but it it's it's just something that we're really uh really trying to address these issues as we move forward here.
4:54Uh there is a need for more quality housing in for both renters and home buyers, especially first-time home buyers in the city.
5:02So there's two slides here that I want to just kind of show.
5:05These are examples of previous housing studies that we worked on.
5:08So if this map doesn't look familiar to you, it is the city of Pittsburgh with the three rivers.
5:12We did a little housing study for them back in 2012.
5:15One of the key things that we look at, um, and we we are going to do here for the city.
5:19We haven't done it yet, but we are going to do, is really look at how um how cost burdened households are.
5:25How many how many households in the city are paying more than 30 percent of the rent towards housing, and where are those things happening?
5:32And so you can see on this map, those areas that are darker green have higher incidence of cost burden.
5:37And so that really helps paint a picture of hey, you know, of what's really happening here from a cost burden, where is that needed, where is our intervention strategies needed to help address those cost burden households.
5:48And that's that's one thing that we'll be doing.
5:50Again, this is just a sampling of things that we look at.
5:53The second one is probably even a more important slide, and it looks kind of complicated, but it's really not when you think about it.
5:59So, this is an analysis that we do, it's called a gap analysis.
6:03And what what the what's it intended to do is to look at both owner-occupied housing and renter housing, again at all income levels.
6:11So we're looking at zero to 30 percent of AMI, 31 to 50 percent of AMI, 51 to 80, and 81 and above those small uh those market rate housing.
6:20And so, just to take, for example, to explain what we try to show here is that um if you look at that zero to 30 percent uh block there, you can see on the left hand side of that chart 9,450 households are at zero to 30 percent income in the in this community.
6:35This is not this is from a previous study that we did.
6:37However, those two below purple blocks down below show that only 200 and uh 2,565 uh are occupied units in the marketplace by persons of those incomes.
6:51There's their income matches a uh a unit in the marketplace that's available and affordable to them.
6:57However, there's additional 2,854 units that are occupied by persons who are higher income but are living in this market in this unit, and the reason for that is because they can't find available units at higher income levels at 31 to 50 or whatever their income is, and so they're down renting or downowning.
7:15And so you can see what happens is it causes a gap in that housing.
7:18So there's a need for additional housing units of 6,885, I think is that number.
7:24Uh, and that's what we want to look at at every.
7:26This is another city.
7:27This is not to this is not eerie.
7:28This is not just showing what you can do.
7:30This is what we will be doing for the city.
7:32This is an example purpose only.
7:33This is another study that we did.
7:35But the purpose of showing you the slides is the type of analysis that we're going to be doing so that it helps identify where those gaps are by income and by tenure, both homeownership and rental, to see where those needs are, where those gaps are.
7:49And the real purpose of this is to help develop and design strategies, solutions, and recommendations to address those gaps in the marketplace uh as we move forward here.
7:58So I just wanted to kind of provide that to show you the types of analysis that we're doing.
8:02And it's really powerful when we start looking at this by both renter and for sale, and it helps drive and develop policy and recommendations.
8:13We've done some initial demographic observations.
8:15This is by no means final format, final in final format, but we just uh did some general kind of sense of uh of observations that we've seen so far.
8:25So these are just some typical things that we've seen so far that we wanted to share.
8:29Um we're doing the analysis for you all uh on this neighborhood map basis.
8:34So we're uh we're gonna be preparing data and showing analysis based at the neighborhood level, and these are the neighborhoods that we're working on.
8:42And um we're doing this for a number of reasons uh because uh again it relates to the majority of the other planning documents that you guys have in place.
8:51Uh it's part of your eerie refocused uh study that you did.
8:54Uh so there's a lot of reasons that we've uh decided to present the data in this manner.
8:59Um in addition, we're gonna be providing you with name what we call neighborhood profiles at the end of the day, and that's a real helpful tool.
9:05So uh if you're looking to do a strategy in uh you know the green garden area, you'll have a demographic snapshot of that area for for grant applications or for analysis or for whatever we think in there.
9:18So this is the this is the basis that we're gonna present this data.
9:23Just some demographic points.
9:24I'm preaching to the choir, I'll go through these really quickly because you probably already know this stuff, but the city's really has a decrease in population since 2012, a loss of almost 7,479 residents.
9:36Um there's a larger concentration of foreign-born residents in the city compared to the county.
9:41Um this next bullet point is will change.
9:45Uh we've had some more current data this afternoon when we met with the immigrant community uh related to the number of immigrant community and foreign-born residents that have come into the city over the last three or four years.
9:57So this was just based on ACS data.
10:00We have actually more data related to this.
10:01And it's actually more.
10:02You have an increase of foreign-born residents coming into the community over the last two years.
10:07So we'll address that as we move on here.
10:09Your housing, your your median age of residents in the city is increasing from uh you know in 2018, uh, I think it was 34.7 in 2013 is 33, and now it's about 35.
10:22So you have an aging population.
10:24Um this is a really good slide.
10:28It shows the tenure of housing.
10:29So the good news is the city is pretty evenly split between home ownership and renters 5347.
10:35We'd like to see a balance of that in communities, so that's really good.
10:39Um you all know that the majority of the housing in the city are single family homes.
10:43That's about 63% of the units.
10:45Umiddle housing options, such as duplexes, triplexes, quadplexes account for about 22 percent of the housing stock.
10:52Um and larger housing options, such as mid-rise, high rise in mobile homes account for about one percent of the remaining 15 percent of housing types.
10:59Will you be breaking this down by demographic information as well, like you did on the last slide just to see like you know how many are like of this age or okay?
11:08Yes, we'll provide that by tenure and by age.
11:11This is again just an overall kind of snapshot of that.
11:17Rental housing market.
11:18Okay, just one question back to that.
11:20Um says what 15 percent is other what what are some examples of what other might be?
11:28I feel like this is pretty comprehensive list.
11:30In this case, other would be mobile home, both, trailers, uh, things like that.
11:35Um that one percent after low loan to the other.
11:45So like high-rise buildings, high-rise apartment buildings, that sort of thing.
11:51Mid-rise apartment buildings, four stories and higher.
11:53I guess I was looking at the pie chart, and it seems like that would have been covered in the you know the 20 to 49 or the 50 or more.
12:02No, the census separates those out separately.
12:08Uh so your rental housing market, um, so median gross rent of all houses rental housing in the city was estimated about 836 in 2023.
12:17We feel just based on conversations we've had today, um, that that is even higher today than it is uh in 2023.
12:24So it's probably closer to 900 to a 950, maybe a thousand.
12:29Um, even though it was what's that?
12:32Yeah, close to 1200.
12:35Um again, that was 2023 data ACS.
12:38We'll review that as we go on.
12:39There was only a slight increase uh compared to 2018 when the median gross rent was 847, adjusted for 2023 dollars again.
12:46That's probably not 100% correct, but uh that's what the ACS data is showing.
12:51Uh the average studio apartment in 2023 was estimated to be 572, one bedrooms at about 661.
12:56We think we heard today one bedrooms are probably closer to 700 to 800 range.
13:01Uh and the average two-bedroom apartment was probably it says here 861, but it was probably closer to 900 to 1,000, most likely.
13:09This uh item actually shocked me when I saw it.
13:12Rental vacancy rates in the city were almost 8%, 7.6 percent in 2023.
13:17And again, that's high compared to the state average of about 5%.
13:20So that's um that was kind of shocking to me.
13:27And uh before we go any further, I and I don't forget, I just want to really thank uh the greater Erie Board of Realtors for providing this data to this to us.
13:36Uh it's um really proprietary data from their multi-list service, and they were multi-list service are really um not likely, don't like to give that data out real um easily, and they were very cooperative and did provide us this information.
13:50And the good news is is it is very current.
13:52Um so some of the key things that we've seen uh so far from them is that the medium sales price of a home sold in 2025 is 158,361.
14:02Um the median average sales price has steadily risen over the past five years with a 34 percent total increase since 2018.
14:10Back in 2018, the uh median annual sales price was 118,205.
14:16Um since 2021, the number of owner-occupied homes sold has decreased annually with a peak of 771 homes sold in 2021 and a minimum of 571 in 2024.
14:29That's probably explained because of the increase during COVID.
14:33Interest rates went way down to 2% and was shot up over the last two or three years.
14:38Um is now six and a half, seven percent in some cases.
14:41So when interest rates rise to that level, it makes homes less affordable to individuals, so they're not able to purchase a house, so that's probably why you're seeing a decrease in sales uh since 20 uh 23 and 24.
14:54Are we able to break down how many of those homes are bought now?
14:58Like so look, I see that we sold like 582.
15:00How many are bought by people who actually reside in Erie versus people who are buying them from outside of the city and renting?
15:13So I I mean if out-of-the-s, you're right.
15:16Right, yeah, because I think that that's been something we've seen quite a big increase.
15:19And we have heard that there's a lot of out-of-town investors uh currently.
15:22We are we'll follow up related to that.
15:24So I'm not a hundred percent sure what that number represents, but we can follow back up and figure out what that is.
15:29But we did hear that in both of our meetings today that out-of-town investors are buying property, not even going through the rental registration program, just running it as is.
15:39And a lot of cases it's really poor condition housing, which is really really sad.
15:43In some cases, they don't have water.
15:46Especially with our refugee immigrant population too.
15:49Yes, that's where it came out in that conversation.
15:51Do you want to come up?
15:56There's lots of empty seats up here.
16:00Um the good news is uh 2025, January 25 through September, a total of 580 uh two homes have been sold, indicating increase in more and more market activity.
16:13Um again, that's I think people are just getting used to the fact that these are the new rates of interest rates uh that are going to be here, and they're just taking the plunge.
16:20Um so that's good news.
16:22Uh and on average, home uh that we look at what we call days on market.
16:26So on average, homes for sale tend to remain on the market for about a month, and it's been maintained that way since 2021.
16:32That's an indicator of a fairly strong uh demand market and tight market.
16:38Uh so we always want to look at that.
16:40Um and you're probably not surprised from the supply side, the city has a very low owner-occupied vacancy rate of less than one percent.
16:46That's pr that's pretty pretty amazing to me that there's very little vacancy rate in owner-occupied units.
16:53Can you repeat that last part that you just said?
16:55So about the vacancy or the days on market.
16:59Days well, right after the days on the market.
17:02Yeah, the city has a very low owner-occupied vacancy rate.
17:06So that means the number of vacant owner-occupied homes in the city is less than one percent in 2023.
17:13And so what's that saying is that the supply, it's a very tight supply.
17:17There's very little homes available for purchase, even if they wanted to purchase that are vacant and available for sale.
17:23Uh it's less than one percent of your overall housing stock, owner-occupied housing stock.
17:28Does that make sense?
17:34And then just a little overview of what we're going to include in the housing plan.
17:38Um, so again, the public outreach, again, I said we we did we're doing stakeholder in-person stakeholder sessions today, uh, this week uh through Thursday.
17:47Uh, we're gonna do additional up to 10 virtual sessions after the new year.
17:52We haven't scheduled those or know when they'll be, uh, but we will be doing those at uh some point during um the month of January and February, most likely.
18:00I also, as I indicated earlier, we really want to make sure we somehow get various neighborhood resident input in the neighborhoods at some point, most likely in February.
18:11We heard that uh there's a lot of a lot of neighborhood organizations meeting in January.
18:15They basically take the month of January off, but looking towards February, maybe early March, having a series of uh of meetings in the neighborhood to get residents out to provide comment on their types of needs.
18:27At that time, we should have more detailed demographic data as well to share with them uh and give them the opportunity to provide input.
18:33We feel really important that the general population and community residents provide comments and input on the housing plan, and so we really want to make sure we do that.
18:42Uh how are you doing that?
18:43Like who are you con what groups are you contacting, and like how are you identifying like who's gonna be the stakeholder that's invited in?
18:51For the in-person session.
18:52Um for the just any of the sessions, yeah.
18:54So we worked with uh Renee to get the in-person sessions, the stakeholder sessions that we're doing.
18:59So we did the immigrant community, uh, we did housing authority, redevelopment authority, planning commission, planning um planning department, your um uh codes department.
19:12Um we're also meeting with the home team on Thursday.
19:15We have another immigrant session tomorrow for folks that weren't able to make it today.
19:19Uh I know I'm missing one.
19:21We have all the year and all the workers and community centers?
19:26Tomorrow evening in city council chambers.
19:29Uh so they'll be doing that.
19:30That's just one piece again.
19:31Uh we look at stakeholders, but we also look at general population, general community to participate.
19:37We haven't really lined up the um on uh the virtual ones yet, so we wanted to see how this session went.
19:43We usually get recommendation of other organizations that need to be present and participation.
19:47Um if you all have really strong feelings about groups and persons that we should be inviting and inviting to the uh virtual sessions, we'd really want to know that.
20:00We had a uh uh opportunity to meet with the incoming administration's chief of staff today uh to kind of think about how they envision and want to get people out and who they feel we should meet.
20:07So I think it's an ongoing conversation.
20:08We haven't finalized that yet, but we really want to finalize that process and who we're reaching out to, both on the public uh community side as well as uh uh in-person virtual or the virtual sessions in January.
20:20So is there a way to get a list of who's already like been pulled in so that we can add to that list?
20:25I believe we have that right, Renee.
20:27I've listed who we invited so far.
20:28Yes, we do have that.
20:30We can send that to you.
20:31Yeah, I was gonna say um definitely anything that you guys are gonna be advertising.
20:35Um I recommend that you guys notify the food pantries and also the library.
20:41Because there's regular people who use these areas quite a bit.
20:44So we kick we kicked around the idea of potentially doing what we call a pop-up meetings, like going where people are.
20:51So, like you're saying, we could do a food patron.
20:53We could do the library, just set up a like a little station and just ask people input uh on housing needs within the community.
21:00So these are all things we're thinking about.
21:02We haven't finalized them yet, but we we definitely are not done with the outreach process yet, but we'll we'll be working on that in January and February coming up.
21:11Uh and then finally we'll present to you all.
21:13We'll present to the mayor um once we have a final draft document for review and comment.
21:19Um, and obviously we would want your input and your analysis and your thoughts on on the document before it goes public.
21:26So we will be in touch with you throughout this process.
21:29Um you'll see that uh we also want to do our document also talk about data analysis.
21:34You you just saw a snapshot of the things we're looking at, but we're really looking at people, housing, economy, and blight, so there'll be a lot more demographic uh analysis done.
21:44And really the supply and demand analysis is a key piece.
21:47This is that housing mismatch that that chart I showed you, where the gaps in the housing are by income and by tenure is really important.
21:55We're also gonna buy projection data.
21:57So that helps us look forward about five years to see what the demand may be in five years.
22:02All this data really and the supply and demand analysis really helps focus recommendations uh that we would provide as part of this plan.
22:10We also are uh doing a side analysis um for the housing authority.
22:16So part of our assignment is to do a feasibility study for the Erie Heights uh housing development for Dusty at the Housing Authority.
22:23So if you're familiar, that's on the west side.
22:26Uh it's really close to our Lady of Peace, right on the city line there.
22:29Uh that's an affordable uh development that the housing authority owns.
22:34It's not public housing, it's not Section 8, it's just affordable affordable housing.
22:40She feels that there's an opportunity to rehab some of that to potentially expand affordable housing in that area.
22:46Uh so we're doing a little feasibility.
22:47What would it look like from a development perspective to uh put sources and uses together initially to develop or redevelop that site?
22:54Uh we have an architect on board to do some schematics, so we'll be sharing that as well with you.
22:59Um the other thing that we're looking at behind the scenes is really looking at your organizations locally, see what they do, um, see what all the organizations organizations do.
23:08Make sure that there's not duplication of services or provisions, making sure that maybe an organization could be doing more to address identified housing need within the community.
23:17So we're doing that analysis.
23:19We're also looking at service gaps.
23:20Uh so that would be for your uh your homeless, your supportive housing, your permanent supportive housing, your shelters.
23:27What does that look like?
23:28Are we missing anything?
23:29Are there are the things we're providing services, but are they really meeting where people are in the needs that they're that they're need?
23:34So we'll be reviewing a lot of those service gaps and identifying any ways that maybe we could recommend some tweaks to that.
23:41We're also asking folks to provide any insights on obstacles, identifying obstacles, specifically as it relates to the development, especially of affordable housing.
23:51So is it a land cost issue?
23:53Is a lack of availability?
23:54Is it blighting conditions that uh that's taken up space?
23:58So we're gonna be looking at we're gonna be looking at those um obstacles that potentially may be prohibiting further development, especially of affordable housing.
24:07And then finally, um uh we're gonna be doing crafting this solutions-based strategies and recommendations to assist in addressing those housing gaps at the city level across neighborhoods.
24:20Uh and then again, don't we can have this now, but this was just our stakeholder at this time generally during our stakeholder sessions.
24:26We ask the organizations to provide a discussion on housing needs.
24:29We're also in in several of the sessions.
24:32Um, we have a little exercise that we've been doing.
24:35So tomorrow evening with the neighborhood growth partnership.
24:38Um, we hope that we get good attendance here.
24:41So we have this little mapping exercise that we ask people where they live, we ask them the assets in their neighborhood, and we ask them what some of those constraints in their neighborhood are.
24:51Uh and then more importantly, we do a budgeting exercise.
24:53We have these fake dollars, and we give everyone five dollars, and we have five buckets of like what do you think the most need is rental housing, affordable rental housing, market rate, rental housing.
25:04We have like five options.
25:05They have to decide where they feel their best the resources, those five dollars can be put in.
25:10And again, we do the and we want to do that in the future when the neighborhood groups when we meet, uh, just to get general input on what people think the resources should be allocated in that way.
25:19So we are doing these exercises uh in some of these groups where we have more neighborhood residents and and participation.
25:26So it's worked out pretty good so far today.
25:28So that's all I have.
25:29Do you all have any questions?
25:33I don't think it's necessarily question, it's just our fear of the lack of community involvement if they're not given the information early enough, and then also to know that, you know, um we're planning this, because tomorrow, I don't know how many community members are gonna realistically show up.
25:51Just because it's the debt of our winner.
25:53It gets dark so fast.
25:55And people sometimes don't find out about things until after the fact.
26:00So I just want to intentionally reiterate the need for the neighborhood watch groups to know and the food pantries and even let the school district know so that they can let families know at the school because most of our city school students are probably in families that rent.
26:19Um I just I want the study to be adequate and I want as much community involvement as possible.
26:26So just making sure it's not the same hundred or two hundred people who answer all of our surveys would be great.
26:33And again, we will coordinate that with you.
26:35I I believe that we need at least a month lead time.
26:39So that's forefront of my mind that we get things done and we would hope that you all would help get the word out for us.
26:47Uh we will do our best to get it out to uh organizations, school district.
26:50Uh we'll do the blast.
26:52But really, when you all invite your constituents to meetings, I think it really helps uh that they are there and participate.
26:59But we'll keep you posted on that, and we'll absolutely um make sure there's enough lead time and then we do it in different locations so it's not just here at City Hall or on the West Side or these will have different locations for folks.
27:12Thank you, Bill, for this presentation.
27:17And this is really close to my heart.
27:20So if it's okay if we all get a timeline of the dates and the times, because I would like to attend if I am able to.
27:33I wish that we could go and hop back before uh COVID changed everything because it is unaffordable for the average person.
27:47And then it affects higher education.
27:50How are you going to pay for uh private uh institution or college because you're paying so much into housing?
28:03And uh, you know, I purchased my home for 499 with uh first-time home buyers and a 35-year mortgage plan.
28:15And it was doable, and I did it in my 20s.
28:19People in their 20s can not do that anymore.
28:24We heard that today.
28:27How much were you making then?
28:29Well, I was at, you know, St.
28:31James, not right now.
28:35You still would made it work.
28:36You were still able to make it.
28:38You were able to make it work, that's right.
28:39You know, and they were trying to sell us a home above 49.9.
28:44And we knew that that was going to be a stretch.
28:48But 35 years and it was doable.
28:51What one of the things we will look at is what we call the missing middle.
28:55You probably heard that term.
28:56It's that that that exact type of housing that you're looking for.
28:59It's called the missing middle.
29:00It's middle income housing, you know, housing that's available for you know that that type of income tier that you're talking about.
29:06The issue is is that developers, it costs them the same to build a new unit in Summit or Millcrake or Fairview as it does in the City of Erie.
29:16So there needs to be incentives for developers, whether it be a land cost or development subsidy to help write down the cost of that construction.
29:23Those are things we're looking at to help make it more affordable.
29:26The other interesting thing we heard at the immigrate immigrant session this afternoon is that yeah, they have a lot of individuals that are that could potentially purchase homes.
29:35They're making, I think the number was sixty thousand dollars a year, fifty to sixty thousand dollars a year, forty to sixty thousand, I think was the number that they said.
29:42They have zero bad credit, which is something we don't bump into everywhere we go, bad credit is what's holding people back from being able to get a mortgage.
29:49Their issue is that they don't have enough money for down payment and closing cost assistance.
29:53And so just with a little help and a little incentive to help pay for that $8,000, $10,000 downpayment closing costs, they'd be able to purchase a home at $150,000, the median, basically the median income.
30:05So we're looking at those types of things to be able to incentivize and be able to help those types of households purchase how homes in years.
30:12We think it's really important.
30:13I don't think somebody with $40,000 or $40,000 salary could purchase $150,000 house.
30:18I literally just did the math on that.
30:21With the amount of groceries, food costs, everything else.
30:2430% of your housing cost being $1,000, $30% of your house costs.
30:29That would actually, it's exactly $40,000.
30:31Which your house adjusted for inflation into today's numbers would be $140,000.
30:36So someone with today's salary of $140,000 could buy a house.
30:40My houses in my neighborhood are selling well over $200,000 if you have student loan.
30:47Just the other day, not even thinking of this home thing.
30:51I posted on my Facebook page, a house on uh Middle Drive, uh Cape Cod.
30:59They want $249,000 for it.
31:04And they will get it, but it's absolutely crazy because the summer, within a few blocks away, they were getting there was three other houses that sold for the same or more price.
31:21But where are the where I I just don't get it?
31:29Because you have to make a lot of money to purchase that.
31:38Like I could sell my house, but I don't have a house to move into.
31:42I don't have that kind of thing.
31:43Well, that's what's going on.
31:44So these pre people are paying more than 30 percent of their income towards housing.
31:48So they might be paying 50 percent to beat that mortgage.
31:51That's that's the reality.
31:52That's what they have to do.
31:53So you know, we have to look at alternatives, you know.
31:56Um, how do we get that help to that down payment and closing costs to make it more affordable?
32:01How do we write down mortgages to make it more affordable?
32:03People, we will look at all these alternatives as part of the recommendations.
32:08Uh working with private banks, looking at other ways to leverage resources to help people achieve homeownership and and and rent, you know, it's not just on the homeownership side, it's also rental.
32:18I don't know how people afford rent.
32:20You can buy a house if you have the resources, as much as it costs to rent.
32:24I mean, the mortgage, I don't I don't I heard the mortgage uh of $158,000 is about $1,000, $900,000.
32:32Uh that's rent, you know, $1,200 is, you know, people are paying $1,200 for a two or three bedroom unit.
32:37So it, you know, if they have that ability to be able to get some assistance on the down payment closing cost side in the marketplace, that's that makes all the difference in terms of home ownership.
32:48I would be also very curious when as you're doing this, is data collection around um the like the Airbnb, like how many, how much how many properties have now gone into that stock?
32:59We are looking at that.
33:00The the the we talk a lot about tiny homes.
33:04Um the capacity for us to actually do that, though.
33:08Like so because you you build one and you don't build up, so those those tend to take up a lot more space as we're just kind of thinking.
33:14I there's there's an opportunity there, but I I would be very curious just like how we look at the Airbnb, uh, the tiny home and and just like the algorithmic rental prices that are being, I think, falsely inflated and in some capacity, just where we're seeing some of that.
33:32We are looking at that too.
33:33The other thing too is we're looking at your uh zoning code, right?
33:36Uh we heard today from your planning department and planning commission that um it's very outdated and antiquated.
33:42And so um that's also a potential uh uh thing that we could look at really adjusting and and recommending updating your zoning code to help address doing more form-based codes uh that allow for different types of housing mix within certain areas as opposed to your traditional R1 or two kind of thing.
33:59So and I think looking at that waterfront uh conditional around the equity of just some of that too.
34:06Uh we've talked about that.
34:06We'll chuck spread up a couple of times.
34:08So look, we also talked today about doing an affordable housing overlay.
34:12What does that look like?
34:13You know, does it have a developer, a private developer on the waterfront wants to build market rate units?
34:19Okay, maybe we were we require them to do 10 percent of the units as affordable for whatever we define affordability as, or make them pay into an affordable housing trust fund for the so that you have a resource of dollars to help reinvest in however, whether it's going to down payment and closing cost assistance, whether it's going to help acquire uh properties and rehab resale, whatever the case may be.
34:43So we're thinking about all these types of things as part of this study to help address that.
34:48What is the uh I'm just gonna like the the the partnership or the collaboration with like groups like Infinite Eerie or some of these other coasts who are great questions?
34:57Yeah, so we're willing to meet with them.
35:00Um we do have uh you uh Renee have provided us with all the reports that have done in the city over the last 10 years.
35:05So we have all those infinite area re-eary revoked, all of the air economic development plans.
35:10There's been a ton of studies done.
35:12And we actually are um Hannah, our colleague has just finished a uh a review of all those studies, so we have a good uh you know, kind of overview of what the recommended, uh what it said.
35:22Uh we'll um I haven't reviewed yet.
35:24As soon as I get done reviewing it, we'll we'll forward it to the city, so you have that, but we are taking into consideration all of those plans that have been previously done.
35:31Look at it and say, hey, what makes sense?
35:33Hey, this made sense, but it didn't move forward, why didn't it move forward?
35:36And really looking towards making actionable uh implementation plan that's able to be implemented over uh the next five years.
35:44So uh we're very cognizant that we're gonna provide real world implementable actions that you can take as opposed to just some pie in the sky.
35:51We're really cognizant about not doing that.
35:57Well, I look forward to all the data and the research that we're going to be um presented in the coming months.
36:04Um the housing plan has been something that I I'm in favor of.
36:09I I understand the need for affordable housing and I understand the need of our community for new housing and the fact that we haven't been able to build much in our city gives me hope that once we have this plan, maybe the next administration is gonna have the opportunity to apply for grants and see if we can get some investors and developers to come forward.
36:29Um I know that Erie is a beautiful place to live.
36:33We just need to be able to make it more um affordable for some of the low income wages that we have here because we do have an abundance of low wages, and until the minimum wage is increased, I think we're gonna just have to figure it out as far as how to afford to survive.
36:51But like you said, most places in order to rent have to be able to approve three times your income to even qualify.
36:59So if we can try to find ways to help these people who are going to live here be able to find closing costs, it will definitely secure the lack of growing um what is it, the population because people are gonna be like, oh, we can buy houses in the city.
37:17We have these programs, so I'm I'm looking forward to that.
37:21Um I was able to buy a house in July of 2025, thanks to Erie Black Wall Street.
37:28They had a program for the uh closing.
37:32So they gave me a $10,000 grant to close, and that was a very youthful program.
37:39I gave you four weeks of knowledge and you had to qualify.
37:42Um, but your income and all the other qualifications had to be met before you even got the approval.
37:48So you have to be able to uh get the bank approval first.
37:51So you can with a salary of 40,000 dollars, maybe a little 45, that's what I'm roughly at, qualify for a first-time homeowner loan.
38:02Your debt to um income just needs to be less.
38:05So luckily for me, I'm less than 20,000 of student loan.
38:09But somebody with 150 or 200,000, yeah, it's different.
38:15It takes that opportunity off the table completely.
38:17That's the real issue.
38:18I don't know how these kids are graduating with 200,000 of debt.
38:21They're never gonna be able to find a floor.
38:25And that's the thing is that so many people who went to school for masters or their doctrine are now so far in the hole that they're never gonna be able to buy homes.
38:35And I thank myself for going to a technical school versus a four-year institution because my golly, because I didn't go to a four-year college, I'm in a home now, whereas some of my friends have a lot of student loans that they're paying back and they're never gonna be able to buy a house, and it's very sad.
38:52So anything that we can do in the city to help people be able to close is where I want to be.
38:58So yes, we need more programs for first-time homeowners because that's the way to go.
39:04Uh 35-year mortgage seems like they're rooted and they're gonna be here for a while.
39:12And again, just to be clear, this is uh a we're looking at all market segments, not just affordable, but we will focus a lot on affordability.
39:22Will you be talking with like the land bank and our meeting this morning?
39:27They were all in our meeting this morning.
39:28So talk with Aaron at length.
39:30And I I think that this plan is gonna help us too be able to navigate what we do with all of the vacant lots that we just allow to be sold for 250 dollars because that's land that potentially we could develop on if we do what we need to do.
39:46So, you know, hopefully we are looking forward to the next five years.
39:52I think the and then I'll get up get off the sociological side of it for a second.
40:00Um another area though that and you briefly touched on this is the inability to like secure loans.
40:05Um when we see there's such an an overlap when we see um people who who are being arrested for uh various things that and and or having back due child support or things like that that go on the record and now they're unable to get you know so we don't have banks and lenders who are willing to to take a chance on this person um or employment opportunity.
40:27So I am very curious to see how the loan distribution is going and if we're still seeing um because I know it exists, but seeing it in the data, like the redlining when it becomes renter versus homeowner and and who who gets to buy and who doesn't get to buy.
40:45Um are you finding the same similar situation in Pittsburgh than Erie?
40:51Or can't you compare?
40:52Oh no, the affordability issue is everywhere.
40:54So um it's pretty intense in Pittsburgh right now.
40:57The affordability is um even more insane.
41:00I don't know if you guys know what the numbers are from an affordability perspective in Pittsburgh, but I know in my neighborhood, it's 400%.
41:09She's in Lawrenceville, in all fairness.
41:11That's a uh gentrifying neighborhood.
41:14Like, is that a good area?
41:16Yeah, the gentrification, yeah, yeah.
41:25And that's like my biggest my biggest fear.
41:29Because this Erie is right now a very affordable place to live, but our nest our job market is not matching.
41:38Um so we are we are really primed for wealthy remote workers to and to really push out those who have the jobs that we are offering here in Erie.
41:47So that's that's there's and that's not for for you all to solve too, but to have the data and the analysis to show like this is where the blocks are, and then to go to the community colleges or go to the high schools and go to like this is what we need to help people build up so they can buy and stay.
42:00Um because I don't want a 400% increase.
42:04And truly, like, you know, I have a brother uh that lives in uh North Carolina, a brother that lives in the uh Annapolis area, and housing down where they live is crazy.
42:34That's a lot of money.
42:36$29,000 less than the same terrible tile.
42:41It's worth just because of where it's there.
42:43Well, Kathy, you'd be a millionaire.
42:49But you would have a million plus to buy a new home somewhere.
42:53Oh my lord, the house, the housing prices have just ballooned.
43:00Well, if I guess I should have just bought a house when I was one year old.
43:04If there are no other other questions, I don't want I don't want us to like feel like we have to stay till seven.
43:09I think we're good to wrap.
43:10We're okay with wrapping.
43:12Anytime if you have questions, um you can reach out to us at any time.
43:15We'd be happy to answer anything.
43:16We'll keep you updated as we go on.