5:37Council members, we are going to welcome a presentation, and leading the conversation is going to be our own council member.
5:45But before I turn it over to him, uh one of the benefits of having this new structure is, of course, that we get to broaden our reach and broaden our expertise.
5:54And I was so excited when Councilmember Bram was assigned to our committee because I know that elections reform is something that he's very passionate about, and he uh correctly and rightly so identified this presentation very early on.
6:08Um more importantly than that, though, it is also a very important day uh for our council, and that is his birthday.
6:15So happy birthday, council member.
6:17And with that, please uh take it away.
6:22So what stays in council what goes on in council stays in council, right?
6:26Uh so just as as a way of background and as uh Chair Nash noted, um, we're taking a look at a range of things pertaining to elections.
6:35We've had a presentation already about ranked choice voting, and it was suggested then that we have a presentation on approval voting.
6:42And so thank you, Ms.
6:44Wagner and Miss Sardinas for coming and sharing this with us.
6:47Um by way of background, a third speaker, Walter Olson, who was part of the charter group as well as an expert on elections because of the weather, will not be able to join us today, and so I will reschedule his his presentation and comments later on.
7:00So more to come on that.
7:03Wagner, I understood you were going to lead for a few minutes and then turn over to Ms.
7:07Sardinas, is that correct?
7:11Thank you both for joining us.
7:13Thank you, and good afternoon, council members.
7:16My name is Mary Kramer Wagner.
7:18I'm with uh Pinnacle Strategies representing the Center for Election Science.
7:23And I want to thank you for the opportunity to present to you the information on approval voting.
7:30Just want to give a little bit of background about myself.
7:33I spent 21 years in the wonderful world of elections, and that just never gets out of your bloodstream, I tell you what.
7:42But um I also was a legislative liaison to the General Assembly during that time, and I just need to give a shout out to uh the former election director of Frederick, Stuart Harvey, who was my partner in crime during that whole time I was with elections because again, I'm state board.
8:06I always used to say there wasn't enough love nor money for me to work at a local board because they do the yeoman's work, they do the heavy lifting, and I would come up with some really great ideas, and Stuart would look at me and say, No, go back to the drawing board.
8:23So I always really welcomed his collaboration with me.
8:41And a lot of questions, as you all can imagine.
8:44What is the difference between ranked choice and approval voting?
8:48And we go around and around, and the legislators were confused, and they didn't want to make that decision.
8:57So after speaking to quite a few of the legislators, I said, how about a task force?
9:03Uh and the task force would study the implementation of approval voting and ranked choice voting.
9:10Let's get the best in the brightest in the room to hash this out, not showing favoritism from you know, for one or the other.
9:20It would be give us your best.
9:23And I present it to you all with the bill, and I'll be more than happy.
9:27It's a bipartisan uh process between the House and the Senate.
9:32Uh and um I can certainly get that back out to you.
9:37Uh the hearing in both chambers is Wednesday at one o'clock.
9:42So we will be dividing and conquering and testifying and whatnot.
9:47There will be, I'm sure, amendments offered, which we welcome.
9:52This is just a starting point to do that.
10:00And so I'll keep you all posted about how we move forward with this these bills.
10:04And with that, I would love to turn it over to Alison, who is the true person on approval voting.
10:15Thank you so much, Mary.
10:16Uh before I introduce myself, I'm so sorry, everyone.
10:21So if sometimes you see me like mute immediately, it's because I'm hacking a little bit.
10:27Uh, but I promise it's not for any other reason.
10:30I'm just, you know, a little stuffy.
10:32Um my name is Alison Sardinas.
10:36Um, I'm the director of public affairs for the Center for Election Science.
10:40And the Center for Election Science is a national nonpartisan nonprofit uh focused on really broadly election innovation.
10:48And one of the first election innovations that we decided we really should make some sort of decision on was which type of voting method we wanted to back in terms of support for implementation.
11:05We were really agnostic about this process at first.
11:08Um, and we looked at all of the methods.
11:11That includes ranked choice, there's things like star voting, uh, there are uh things you've probably never heard of.
11:18Uh, there's just so many methods out there actually.
11:21Ranked choice is probably the best known, but there really are a bunch of different methods.
11:27There's a new one on the block, uh Condor Say method, um, and they all do different things, and they're all asking different questions of what that vote can do and what that voter data is actually collected for.
11:41So we landed on approval voting because one, we started out as a fully citizen-led advocacy org, and as a result, we wanted something, we wanted to back a reform that kind of had the path of least resistance to implementation.
12:01And so what that means in terms of practicality, and then I will get into some of the real world uh examples of places that we are used.
12:09Um, we are using a couple of municipalities in America.
12:14But to give you uh an example of why, uh, it's very simple.
12:19So approval voting is simply put, you get to choose all of the candidates on a ballot that you approve of, and none that you don't.
12:30If you've ever used a doodle poll, you have used approval voting.
12:34It's basically an aggregator that finds where we agree.
12:38That is, it's a tool that finds where we agree.
12:42That is uh it's a consensus building method and it looks for consensus.
12:46That is the question of the method.
12:48The the method is asking where do the most people agree.
12:54And so in something like ranked choice, a lot of times the question that is asked of the method is where can we find 50%?
13:03That is what that method is trying to solve for.
13:06Um, as a result, we are different voting methods in terms of like umbrella terms.
13:12We're a cardinal voting method.
13:14Um so that means that we um basically just one of the one of the main differences is that we are simply counting.
13:22Um as a result, uh we we are completely compliant with things like risk limiting audits, uh, hand counts, uh, we are precinct summable.
13:34Um there are all of those kinds of um auditing methods, ballot cures, all of those kinds of concerns.
13:42We try to be as transparent as possible, particularly in today's climate where um we know that transparency is really necessary.
13:51You can do things also in the a lot of the same weight as you can with plurality.
13:57So, for example, you can start counting immediately.
14:00Um, you can get same-day results, some of those things that people are really um invested in in plurality, and some of the things that make people less or rather rather more reticent to change from plurality because they're used to those things and they're used to those methods of uh transparency that plurality does offer.
14:20But we do find that plurality often splits the votes.
14:24Um the Center for Election Science ran um a simulation study in 2022, and what it did is we tried to find the amount of places in America where a vote split, so by a vote split, I'm guessing since you already heard from RCV, maybe you heard from what a vote split is, but it's essentially when a minority candidate and by a minority, it's a candidate that would receive a minority of support, nothing else, um, gets to become elected through that minority support because the majority is splitting its support amongst more majoritarian candidates.
15:03And so a good example of this, and a good example of where we've been able to see success, and it's a good case study, is in St.
15:12Louis actually uses approval voting.
15:17Louis used approval voting, there was a woman who was elected with about uh 30% of the vote.
15:25Her name was Lyda Crusin.
15:27And what happened there, because St.
15:30Louis is a majority black city, is that a lot of the residents who uh were would then split their vote amongst the other black candidates.
15:41Uh Lydo Crusin was a white woman who then was able to get into office with that 30 or so percent.
15:48I think it was actually 32.
15:50But that meant that the majority, the majority of folks didn't feel represented in that result.
15:57And I think some of the like sort of trickle-down effects of not feeling represented in an election, and then those results is that people feel a lot more likely to say that things are rigged, that they don't feel honest or representative, that something happened in the process because their votes were actually reflected in the outcome.
16:17You have someone who got to eek by without building any consensus.
16:21And so they don't have to represent the majority of their constituents.
16:26They get to find that niche, catered to that niche, and it builds hyperpartisanship.
16:32And when we did that 2022 study, we found that about 25% of people at some point in their office uh tenor actually were elected via a vote split.
16:44And that that just increases that um hyperpartisanship and increases the need to find niches that do not appeal to my jo a majority when you know that uh a certain number of people are running for office.
17:02So to go back to that um that example with what happened in St.
17:08Louis finds that something has to change, right?
17:11That this is happening too often in St.
17:14Um they're not getting the majority result that they really need, and that the city deserves.
17:20And so they start uh a campaign, and this is a grassroots campaign.
17:24Uh, it's called proposition D.
17:26And we had a local partner there called Show Me Integrity, and we really just lent our educational support.
17:33But we found that they through proposition D, um, show me Integrity was able to pass proposition D, which was approval voting by 68%.
17:44Um, which was probably the first time that uh St.
17:49Louis agreed on anything to the 68th percentile in a very long time.
17:53So we're very happy to see that.
17:55Um what happens from there is then we don't see a huge runway for implementation.
18:02This is another thing that we really liked about approval voting.
18:04We still like about approval voting.
18:06You can essentially vote, and then the next election um you can implement approval voting.
18:12We have on record one of the folks who was in charge at the election, he said that they uh they were able to run on, I think it's gems.
18:22Uh, they ran on a very old system.
18:25Uh, this was uh in a matter of months in order to run the next election, and they only spent a thousand dollars, which I would not um suggest to only spend a thousand dollars, but a thousand dollars on voter education, and what that actually meant for them is they just uh printed on a magnet and they slapped it on the machines to show you can choose more than one, choose as many as you like, and that was their that was their entire like voter education budget.
18:54I think it's insane.
18:55Uh but it worked for them it seems, um, because the outcome of that election is that you know, we expected to see differences and the people who ended up rising to the top for a runoff.
19:10But what ends up happening is two women, and this is the first time in the history of St.
19:15Louis, rise to the top for that election, which uh, you know, historic and really neat to see.
19:21Um, and they both rise to the top with over 50% approval.
19:26And this is something that's different about approval voting, is that currently and in other methods as well, everyone kind of has uh one piece of the hundred percent pie in approval voting, everyone has their own pie.
19:40So you get to everyone can reach technically 100% approval.
19:46It's not gonna happen, right?
19:48But it is really just trying to assess who has the most, who has the most consensus and the most support.
20:00That is the most important voter data that we are trying to assess in order to best represent uh the community.
20:04The answer to who has the most uh support in that St.
20:09Louis example um is uh is the first black woman um to ever win office and she wins with uh about 60% approval.
20:22Uh coming in second, very close is a white woman who uh almost gets there.
20:30So we see that we're able to sort of immediately make history just changing the way that we think about who can win and how they can win.
20:42Um the the results were immediate in terms of ballot counting.
20:46Um they didn't actually have to do any software changes.
20:50I asked them how they tabulated it because you can technically tabulate in a few different ways when you don't have a software upgrade or you have like old systems, or I'm not really sure um what software you all are using, but I know the way that they did it, they just turned off the tab that allowed over voting and they ran um for the race uh and then just were able to tabulate from there.
21:14Um I know that some systems um in other jurisdictions, for example, uh it is also in Fargo, North Dakota, or wasn't Fargo North Dakota, got caught up ironically, in an RCB ban approval did, um which is really unfortunately happening more and more.
21:30Um but the way they ran it was uh they had school board races that you could choose more than one already.
21:37So their machines could already do this.
21:40Uh they just didn't realize it could explicitly do this for other races as well.
21:47We also find that in terms of cost, there's no additional cost because we know that um elections unfortunately aren't the best funded, even though obviously I think they should be, but um for ballot paper, for example, um there are no additional costs incurred.
22:07Um it really is a pretty simple change that we believe can deliver exceptional results, um, a really good return on investment there, and um it also we believe has a very low burden for the voter themselves.
22:27There doesn't really need to be there's not a really big change that they are engaging in.
22:32We have done studies um, and if you all would like any of them, I can send them to you.
22:38Uh after the fact, we have a few studies that show um that approval when implemented enjoys a broad majority support.
22:49And uh even more than that, people really find it incredibly easy, very intuitive, uh, because they've all used like either a doodle poll or something like that.
23:00Um and we also have found that um it does not take a lot of money to educate the public and to get them ready to vote in an approval voting election.
23:16So we find that very efficient as well.
23:18Um and so it's really a very simple method.
23:22Um we have also worked with some election administrators, for example, in Utah, who are interested in looking at um a similar task force bill.
23:33Uh, because we really uh Center for Election Science is very interested in the election science part of that.
23:40Um we have tried to work with them to ensure that there would be no additional burden on the staff who actually administers the elections.
23:52We are very aware of the fact that the less transparent something is, or even even if it's not, even if it looks like it, it can really increase threats to increasingly we're seeing threats to uh election administrators, their office, their staff, unfortunately.
24:10Um and so that has also been something that has been top of mind in terms of us suggesting a method that we believe doesn't uh make anything less transparent and therefore puts them more at risk in any way uh shape or form.
24:26Um so those are sort those are basically the top lines.
24:31Did I miss anything there, Mary?
24:36No, I don't I don't think so.
24:40So if you all have any questions, I'm happy to answer them.
24:46Thank you so much for sharing this information.
24:48Uh Councilmember Atkins, any questions?
24:52Um you sort of danced around it, but it is the effect that you have a uh primary and then the top two go to the general election, or do you eliminate the primary?
25:04Or how does that work?
25:06So that's completely up to you.
25:10So for example, that is something that to answer the question really directly, there is no one way to implement approval voting.
25:19So for example, if you want to create a more jungle primary situation, um, I will be completely transparent.
25:26Approval work voting works well when you have more than two candidates.
25:32I think that's probably this true for every single alternative uh method.
25:37Uh because that's what plurality does best.
25:41Plurality does the head-to-head the best.
25:44Um, but regardless, it is compatible and has been compatible uh with a few uh ways of implementation.
25:54Louis where what they did was they did approval for a more jungle primary type um of uh just putting everyone in the same pot for that primary, and then they took the top two and did a plurality election in Fargo.
26:12That is not what they did.
26:13Um in Fargo, they uh kept their primaries.
26:18Uh and it wasn't a jungle, it was uh, and this was at the behest of voters.
26:23It was so basically we understand this is a tool that will make voters more comfortable and will lead to more equitable outcomes in any way that the electorate is comfortable, or that for example, you all if you just if you chose implementation, um it really works with whatever you want to do.
26:42If you chose to get rid of primaries, this is my favorite.
26:46I think that it saves money on a on that primary election.
26:50And so you streamline it to just one election.
26:54Um, but that is of course completely up to you all.
27:00Councilmember uh Taylor.
27:04Hi, thanks so much for your presentation.
27:09So how close can it be?
27:11Like, is it you need to win by two percent?
27:14You need to win by five.
27:18Uh the only way that we've seen is just whoever gets the most.
27:22Um yeah, it's like that's one of the ways where uh we see that people also uh accept the results best because it looks like plurality in terms of uh the way that that uh vote is counted.
27:39You know, it looks very similar, but let's say you have more people over 50%, like we had in uh St.
27:46Louis, you had two people who got more than 50% approval.
27:52It was still just the person who won.
27:54Uh and the person who got the most approval, which turned out to be a woman named Tashara Jones, and she got about 60% to the 52.
28:05I I figure it'd be very unlikely that it would be exactly a tie, but you know, it is possible.
28:10Um, and then you mentioned um St.
28:13Louis and then Fargo, which isn't the case anymore.
28:16Why isn't it anywhere else, don't you think?
28:20We're actually pretty new.
28:21Uh the Center for Election Science Um started out as that agnostic organization about 10 years ago, and only really about six years ago did it start pushing for approval voting.
28:34So, and then within that time frame, we were able to get two.
28:39But in general, um, I think for me, it's been frustrating because most people, I'm like, oh, you know, this is such a great method.
28:49Most people don't know that we even have a voting method, you know, in general.
28:53They don't even know like plurality exists.
28:55And so for us, it's been about education, period.
28:59Um, and so we are just we're kind of the newer kids on the block uh to try to get people to understand that there's lots of different ways.
29:09Most people, uh, if they know of any alternative voting method, I think that they know about uh ranked choice voting.
29:15Um which we really don't have any problem with.
29:18It's just uh one, you're seeing an increasing number of bands, unfortunately.
29:24Uh those look most mostly partisan.
29:26Um but we are also just interested in uh presenting another method that we believe has uh the ability to be implemented basically right away with ease, and that's why we've we've chosen our route.
29:41So it sounds like you're saying that you were the first to come up with approval voting to create well, we're the first org to um support it sort of institutionally.
29:53It's a fairly old method, but it existed in like these more nerdy circles.
30:06But it was in mathematical societies for really long time because they liked that it was if you get into it with folks um who really talk about these things and talk about uh the theory of it, uh a lot of them land on approval voting, so a lot of our supporters are of like the math persuasion, and it's because for them it makes the most mathematical sense, and because it had that academic edge for so long, it took a really long time to sort of get out of the dolstroms of academia.
30:41Um it is used in academia fairly widely, and it's also used by a lot of um third parties and some uh major parties uh for their own internal processes, but it's been used in that kind of realm for a really long time.
30:58Yeah, I'm seeing that the history is quite old.
31:01So with my question of why isn't this isn't this done elsewhere in the US, you know, that's it's must be for a reason.
31:10You won't have to answer that.
31:11I'm just just speaking out or thinking out loud.
31:15Okay, I have no more questions.
31:20So let me just say thank you for your presentation and thank you for your work.
31:24I think any time that we can instill additional confidence in our election cycle, no matter what, you know, having these conversations as a just proving that we're taking a look at these things.
31:34I'm gonna come at this from a um a specific angle and I'm gonna tell you why.
31:39So I'm a two-term, some in my second term, some a second term incumbent.
31:43I'm also a former recovering political science student.
31:46And so, like if I could go back and tell 18-year-old self that this is what I would be doing when I was 43, like I would say stay the course because it's really freaking cool.
31:56Um but the reason I'm gonna ask these questions is not I'm I'm very open-minded about this.
32:01Like I'm a Republican turned Democrat.
32:03I'm really pretty convinced that we should have open primaries as a base.
32:07Like, I'm not set at all.
32:09So I'm very open-minded.
32:10So, but I do want to understand when we talk about approval voting, I want to understand how we're not just how is this any different than our current structure, which arguably relies heavily on name recognition, right?
32:28So if we're gonna make a switch and and arguably like our current system, name recognition, funding, all that good stuff.
32:37But tell me how approval voting isn't the same.
32:42Like, you know, we all we we often get told, well, you know, they're just really well known, they might not be the best candidate.
32:48So and if you don't, if you want to take some time and think about it, like you, that's fine.
32:52But that's something that comes to mind is like how do we how do we answer that question when inevitably we get asked.
32:59So that's something that we've actually thought about a lot.
33:01Uh another thing that we thought a lot uh about a lot is uh turnout as well.
33:06You know, these are all kinds of questions that we try to uh kind of assess for.
33:14Um in that project that we I talked about earlier, which was an America misrepresented, um one of the biases that we found that was the most common bias was that name ID bias.
33:27However, we find that name ID bias becomes the most pronounced once someone is already in office.
33:34It does exist um before they're in office, but we found that it didn't have the same poll as a pure incumbency bias.
33:44And we found that there was like kind of a separation there.
33:47Um so in terms of the name ID thing, um, I will say that in Fargo, North Dakota and in um St.
33:57Louis and Missouri, what we found was that there were a lot of firsts and first time uh rather people who were able to surpass that encompass eva incumbency bias and were able to get in for the first time.
34:17This is in both places.
34:19Um and so I can give you some of that data.
34:21Um I can't tell you the exact signs of like why that happens, but we did find that people were able to be ousted for kind of the first time.
34:32Um my theory about that is that if you're able to create a method that gives a more equitable playing field, you can defeat some of the incumbency bias specifically.
34:50Um which I think propels the name ID uh bias in in that way.
35:00We found that if they are able to not get in in the first place under some sort of either name ID or whatever it is that you can sort of defeat that moving forward.
35:08And so we were able to basically thwart that on a first pass for like open elections and things like that.
35:16But we did find, for example, um in uh Fargo in particular, they were able to replace several people.
35:25So I think that there's a little bit of an art to why that is, but um I think creating that more equitable playing field.
35:36I think RCV would tell you something similar.
35:38We also work with like star uh store voting.
35:41It's that the name ID part is sort of impossible to defeat on its own, but you know, there are ways to help it.
35:49If I could follow up.
35:50Um actually I I appreciate that perspective because I I think you hit something there that I wasn't thinking about, but I think just by the nature of being entitled approval voting, if you're an incumbent who's seeking another term, you are seeking, you know, do you approve of that person having a second term or a third term?
36:09I I actually I I think the way that's phrased could very well lead to, well, I've you know already had eight years of making good decisions or bad decisions, depending on your perspective.
36:19So that's a very interesting, you know.
36:22I'll just I'll just add that I think RCV when and I had the benefit of being here when those presentations had, I do think it's a more complicated, again, open.
36:33I think it's a more complicated system to discuss versus what you've presented today, and I think that alone is an interesting like selling point.
36:46I mean, for lack of a better term, but um I really appreciate it.
36:49I I appreciate the I appreciate the unbiased way that you presented the information, and I appreciate that you know, are kind of you understand where we're at in sort of this discovery phase of figuring figuring things out.
37:02So um very much appreciated.
37:03And any studies that you have, I think we would we would benefit from.
37:06Oh, I we can give you we can give you several.
37:09And we like to say that you know, we are approval voting, so we think that you can like more than one thing.
37:13Uh we are we don't dislike uh RCD or really any other method.
37:18Um it's just about we found that because we were citizen-led for so long that there were ballot initiatives that got these folks um and that's one of the reasons why it was difficult for people to get things on the ballot because it was valid initiatives and it was completely citizen-led, they just didn't really have the money for a while.
37:36And so we sort of changed course to getting to actually talking to you folks directly.
37:41Um but because of that, we've tried to be as practical as possible because no offense to you lovely folks who are sitting there, but uh sometimes people do not want to change the method by which they were voted in.
37:55And so we tried to make it as streamlined as possible so that folks would consider alternatives.
38:03Uh hey, thank you very much.
38:05Uh you had mentioned uh impacts on turnout.
38:08Are based upon your analyses, is there any difference with a small turnout as opposed to a big turnout?
38:15So this might be really interesting.
38:17We have been working with folks out of Utah, and we have found that the voting method doesn't really have the biggest impact, um, unless it gets really complicated for folks and then they end up staying home.
38:32We have found actually that uh things like in some places this is getting a little the things like open primaries can depress turnout, uh which is bizarre.
38:44Uh there are some of our partners, so we were agnostic about that.
38:48Um but we have found that the things that actually uh increase turnout, uh one of the things are strong parties increase turnout because a lot of the times uh what actually increases turnout isn't the method, it is the uh GOTV efforts and when parties feel responsible for GOTV efforts, they do the most to bring people to the polls, and that is the most directly correlated thing that we could find.
39:14Uh I didn't mean to mislead you there and say, oh, we're gonna have to do that.
39:17Yeah, my question actually was if if only 17% of the electorate turns out to vote and we're using approval voting, does that have you found or does your analysis show the outcome would be different than if 82% of the electorate came out to vote?
39:32So that's what I'm saying is it is that not it's not necessarily like the method that we have found that makes a huge difference difference there.
39:41That trends um are sort of irrespective of the method.
39:45Uh it and that includes sort of any method that we have survey.
39:51Um again, in and if we used approval voting, you would not anticipate any different outcome if only say 17% of the population of the voter database came out to vote.
40:03Well, I we would the I mean I I don't know what the outcome the outcomes often change, but we don't know if there would be a turn usually like turnout, it looks like it increases moderately, uh like one or two.
40:20I I mean does the uh does the turnout?
40:24Does the turnout affect the outcome?
40:26Not does the not does the method of voting increase turnout.
40:32Um if you know, I um that's a I yeah, I I guess that to me is such a hype we haven't seen that.
40:42I mean, the we've seen that the method does change the outcomes.
40:46Um and that does look like the method changes the outcome no matter if it's a low turnout election.
40:52So I mean, two part of your point there is that uh it has changed the historic election outcomes in low turnout elections or historically low turnout elections.
41:06So in Fargo, a lot of city council races, for example.
41:10Um and by change, it just looks like uh it increased the percentage by which people were actually elected.
41:20So that's what we are assessing when we're looking at change.
41:24Uh it looks like people get a lot closer to uh sort of 50% approval threshold than they did previously, where they were getting in by like 12%, 13%.
41:37Even in low turnout.
41:38And a specific question: how many candidates were in the St.
41:42Louis race that there were where it ended up two people had over 50% of the vote using approval voting.
41:49So those are that was eight candidates.
41:55Uh and then I this is a hypothetical, but is it is it even plausible that you would find that everybody would vote for everybody?
42:04That would be a really nice word uh world that we would live in.
42:07Uh I find that I we haven't seen it.
42:11We haven't seen anything even uh close.
42:14What we we've actually found that uh the percentage of ties is incredibly rare in approval.
42:23Um we haven't seen one.
42:26Uh and it looks like um, you know, you get close, uh people get uh close to each other, but we haven't seen that yet.
42:35We haven't we we've seen pretty definitive actually um differences in candidates as people are allowed to choose more than one.
42:43It looks like they vote less strategically uh and they uh and that ends up m making big differences for the outcomes, or at least the way that the outcomes read.
42:53And related to that, uh have you done an analysis about people who do shotgun votes?
42:57In other words, they vote for one candidate.
43:00Yeah, the bullet voting.
43:02Um we find that the majority uh does not.
43:05So uh we to be clear there, um in the first the the first time that folks use um approval voting, and this goes for other methods as well.
43:16Uh we find that people about 30 percent of the time use do not bullet vote or do not shotgun vote.
43:23Uh they will choose more than one candidate.
43:26As they get more familiar with the method, that increases over time.
43:30So I think um if you were to adopt approval, but I think this is probably true of RCD, and it's probably true of like STAR or anything else that you're talking about.
43:39About the first time there's kind of a learning curve where people are going to feel safer bullet voting.
43:45We do see that that changes over time as voter behavior is sort of incentivized towards other uh directions and voting uh a little bit more confidently uh and becoming more confident in that voting uh system and method.
43:58So again, at the start, most people shotgun, but then as people gain comfort with approval voting, they vote for more than one candidate.
44:06So about uh about 33% will choose more than one candidate at first.
44:16One is what if any impacts does approval voting have if we changed our primary process to be open primaries?
44:23You touched on open primaries, but just to ask that specific question.
44:28So we have worked with open primaries in the past, the org and also the method.
44:33Uh that's what we used in St.
44:35So we are very used to uh working with an open primary method.
44:41Uh and so what they had done is they had worked uh uh to consolidate the primaries or the party primaries into a nonpartisan um open primary, and then they used us as a top two.
45:00We have seen proposed in other places, which has never been used, but these are options just that are on the table.
45:06That there are top four method, or rather, that sort of jungle or open primary, and then people choose anywhere from a top four or a top three, something like that, and then they move on from there.
45:19And then they use approval if they have a top four.
45:23Again, I uh I'm less inclined to something like that just personally, but I have seen that proposed.
45:30I know that like, for example, Nevada has uh proposed and supported um a sort of more jungle to top four um method.
45:41So it is something that's out there, but that's not what we have used in the past.
45:48Uh uh just out of curiosity, has anyone said that approval voting is uh discriminatory, racist, or anything like that.
45:58So we have had that leveled at us.
46:00Uh so we did the research to see if that was true.
46:05Um and actually we found the reverse uh to be true among minority populations in particular, um, they have found uh approval voting to be um the easiest of the methods.
46:19That's this is actually a study that we are in the process of uh peer review, like publishing in a peer-reviewed journal.
46:26It is in the final final uh processes, the final final steps.
46:31Um and we did a meta-analysis and ran simulations for I mean, just several methods.
46:39It wasn't just us, and it wasn't just RCV, it was star as well.
46:42I'm more than happy to share that with you as soon as we are published uh and and we have that.
46:49And essentially we had what we call the voter experience survey to be able to test to see uh quantifiably where we stood in terms of uh othering any minority group or or really any constituency at all, because it's really uh antithetical to what we want to do here.
47:10We want to ensure that um the process is democratic, that people understand what it is, and that it is open and that everyone understands where their vote went, how it was counted.
47:21Um, you know, we want it to be as transparent a process as possible.
47:24That's why I'm personally in this line of work.
47:27And so we do have that data.
47:29Um we found the opposite to be true, actually.
47:32Um people found us really intuitive.
47:35Um, and we ranked really high.
47:37And so I can I can share that with you as soon as it's published.
47:40It's just not that that would be great when it's published.
47:44So hey, last one is uh I uh the Center for Election Science sounds like a great organization.
47:50You're doing great work, um, but nobody works for free.
47:55Who's who's funding it?
47:57Who's promoting your organization in order to promote approval voting?
48:03So we actually don't have that many funders.
48:06Uh we are very small org.
48:08I mean, really a little thing.
48:11And uh currently a lot of the people that we have have been individual donors, really, and they come from that like mathematical community.
48:20So we have um a lot of folks, uh there's uh Dr.
48:25Stephen Brahms who did a lot of this work in the university level.
48:30Um we have uh man who just recently for political reasons uh left Tesla, but he was uh one of the original um engineers who was looking at um some of the like cognitive models going to MIT, you know.
48:50So we have folks like that who um from a really technical world.
48:57We have a lot of engineers and a lot of mathematicians who fund us, and they fund us um individually on an individual um contribution basis.
49:06We're trying now for grants and moving more into that realm.
49:13Um, but we are also uh completely transparent, all of the data or rather data, all of the donor information is on our org.
49:23Uh our EIN's there, all of it's there.
49:25We we believe in transparency.
49:30Uh colleagues, any other questions?
49:35Really fascinating stuff.
49:37Following up on uh Peter's question about the number how people vote multiple times, you know.
49:44Um I would see that if we had a huge mail-in ballots, and I would imagine that I'm gonna say senior because I'm in that group, I'm afraid, but the senior population, when you get a mail-in ballot, you're just gonna go with muscle memory and fill out one vote.
50:03Do you and I I don't know if you can quantify that because I don't know if they differentiate between paper and in-person ballots.
50:11Do you have any information on that?
50:14So I find that one, it's that's hard for us to quantify one just because that is not a ballot error, right?
50:28So for example, under RCV, that's more more easily uh quantified because they have that exhausted ballot um issue, right?
50:37Where it's you know, you can at least maybe count how many ballots were exhausted.
50:42So like maybe how many people didn't uh reach um whatever um layer of counting rate.
50:50Um for us, it's not a ballot error, right?
50:52We count it either way.
50:54So that is one of the things I will say that at the very least, if if someone also truly decides, right?
51:03There is also there are lots of people who only like one person.
51:06I mean, there are lots of people who like none uh who would rather who would rather vote for no one uh and they just decide on one of them.
51:14Um and one of our promises that we make is that really no matter how you vote, your vote will be counted.
51:21Um and it will show up in the final tally.
51:25Uh we find that some people get very uncomfortable with this idea that their vote will not uh exist really in the final tally.
51:33And that was that's one of the pieces of feedback that we've gotten a lot.
51:37Um so we are we're confident that no matter how you vote, it will be reflected.
51:42But also uh we find that when people do that, it is not an error.
51:46So um it is that they've absolutely chosen uh to uh bullet vote or shotgun vote.
51:53And three, we have also found that um the method.
52:02The people who are most politically attuned are the people who are going to choose the most people or are going to rank the most people or going to like star ballot the most people, whatever it is.
52:12Um I will say for uh an older demo, they tend to be more politically informed and they tend to vote for more people as a result.
52:24Um that's the correlation that we have found.
52:27Two and one other one other thing I wanted to bring up.
52:31With approval voting, you don't have spoiled ballots.
52:35Whereas now unless you like completely mess it up, right?
52:41Okay, two really easy questions.
52:44Um you don't need 50% of the vote to win.
52:47It's whoever gets the most votes.
52:50So I mean, theoretically, you know, you could have somebody with you know a low number 31%, and they still would would win, which is fine.
52:57Um then my last question which municipality, county, state has used this the longest.
53:07Uh uh that would be at least in in the uh Fargo had used it the longest.
53:13They were the first implementers.
53:15They also have a lot of good data.
53:17Um and they have a lot of good data in terms of the council races, because to your point, uh there was one year where everyone didn't like anyone.
53:26And so the person who ended up winning, I believe won with something like 40 something percent approval.
53:33And you know, like I talked about, they were able to get up to 100% approval.
53:38It's just I guess no one was feeling it that year.
53:42Um I will say though, one of the one of the other uh one of the other things uh that is something to consider in terms of approval voting, is that it does also a pretty good job of measuring where the electorate is on other issues as well, because it isn't only it isn't only uh figuring out um where like 50 percent or whatever it is, it's really just trying to find approval.
54:11So for example, if you have a sort of niche issue, uh let's say we we did a poll and it showed uh uh Andrew, it was the I think it was the 2016 presidential uh primary, um, and it we put everyone on a ballot.
54:28And for example, um under methods that are more interested in only calculating a winner and not necessarily getting a survey of voter data or voter approval, um we found that under approval, Andrew Yang actually got 30%.
54:47Uh Liz uh Elizabeth Warren got the most, actually.
54:51She she was the most approved, uh followed by uh Bernie Sanders and then everyone else.
54:57Um but we found that um Andrew Yang actually got 30 percent.
55:01When we did the same under plurality, we know how much he got.
55:06He got something like 2%.
55:08And we were really interested and kind of shocked to see that under RCB, he only received something like 5%.
55:15So it wasn't uh it didn't extend.
55:18And so, like, you know, our question was why did that happen?
55:21And we found that when you shift the question to be what do you approve of, you start to see a fuller picture of where the electorate lies on various issues.
55:30And so we were able to sort of extrapolate that about 30% of that population did support something like UBI.
55:37And so for a winning pot uh a winning politician who actually wins that race, they can see that there is a still a sizable amount of the constituency that supports things that may not have been recorded under a different method.
55:51So just something to consider as well.
55:55Any other good follow-up questions?
55:59All right, well, Ms.
56:00Kramer Wagner and Ms.
56:01Sardinas, thank you again for sharing your time and knowledge with us.
56:05Ardenas, we will look forward to getting the additional documentation that you said that you would be able to share with us.
56:12Thank you very much.
56:14Thanks for having us.
56:20Council members, it's back up here for any additional comments and any public comment.
56:25Doesn't look like we have much public comment today.
56:32Just briefly, I will start the our work plan status.
56:37I sent out for just the public's awareness.
56:39I sent out a status update for my group.
56:43We also have started to report on these for my committee.
56:46We also started to report on these at hearings.
56:48So if you're interested in learning more about the status of our work plans and what we're working on, that information will be shared at hearings.
56:56Noteworthy, next week we're going to be talking budget monitoring, which is going to be super exciting.
57:02So everybody clue in, tune in.
57:13Thank you very much.
57:14We're right at an hour and uh have a good day.